Driver:  My friends say I will one day have an accident because I drive my sports car recklessly. But I have done som...

Lisa on November 21 at 10:13PM

Option D

Could you explain (D) further? Thanks!

1 Reply

Jacob on November 24 at 07:36PM

I’m happy to help. Let’s take a look at why answer D is wrong.

We know we are looking for the answer that shows why the reasoning in the argument is vulnerable to criticism. In order to find that answer, we need to understand the argument.

Premise one: friends say I will have accident because I drive my sports car recklessly.

Premise two: minivans and larger sedans have very low accident rates compared to sports cars.

Conclusion: trading sports care for minivan would lower my risk of accident.

Immediately you should spot the flaw: why does the driver think it is the sports car, rather than his reckless driving, that will cause an accident? And thus if he trades in the sports car, we don’t know if his reckless driving will still cause his risk of accident to be the same, even if minivans in general have lower accident rates (perhaps for other reasons — i.e., minivan drivers on average not driving as recklessly!)

Answer D is wrong because the mistake is not that minivans and larger sedans are a sufficient condition for having lower accident rates. Instead, the problem is the argument’s interpretation of the relationship between minivans and accident rates: that having the minivan CAUSES the risk to be reduced, rather than being CORRELATED with the lower risk (for totally separate reasons, as we noted before.)

I hope that helps! Please let us know if you have further questions.