The local radio station will not win the regional ratings race this year. In the past ten years the station has never...

Emil-Kunkin on October 30, 2023

When we see a parallel reasoning like this with incredibly short answer choices, our job is to boil down the passage to its core elements.

Here the author concludes that something will not happen, because it has no happened in the past and little has changed since the past.

A is wrong because the conclusion is not a prediction, it is a statements about how the world is rather than how it will be.

B is wrong because it's conclusion is probabilistic, rather than certain like the passages was.

C is wrong because it's a totally valid argument and lacks a prediction.

D is correct because it extrapolates from the state of affairs in the past to make a definite prediction about the future.

E is wrong because it is completely valid, it merely uses a category definition.