A certain airport security scanner designed to detect explosives in luggage will alert the scanner's operator wheneve...
AndrewArabieon May 7, 2023
Just to be clear on the category confusion
So in this argument, the premise is about a group of 100 pieces of luggage that have no explosives whereas the conclusion is about a more realistic sample of luggage that may or may not have explosives?
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I think that's a good way to put it. This is an issue with false positives: if the underlying event is sufficiently rare and the odds of a false positive are sufficiently high, then a false positive may actually be more common that a real positive.