October 2015 LSAT
Section 1
Question 24
Emil-Kunkin on October 10, 2023
Hi, the final sentence we are trying to support is that negative evidence is rarely conclusive because there are many reasons a theory can seem to be disproved, such as bad measurement or assumptions, that do not actually disprove the core of the theory. The discovery of Uranus is an example of this. It was apparently negative evidence, but ultimately it was not a true black swan because it did not actually disconfirm any theory, it just showed that an assumption that had been made in making calculations was wrong, not the underlying theory.